Earthquake Forecast. Based on the only pattern in seismicity...  a discovery that rewrites physics?








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Earth oscillations magnification due to astronomical alignments

MONTHLY ~M6+ EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:


Google Collection of Patterns Under All Alignments
Full Moon

hover your mouseHover your mouse over an alignment to see its effect on Earth ~M6+ seismicity as an INCREASE-PEAK-DECREASE pattern in M6.2+ magnitudes. Alignments to Mars do not appear to affect Earth seismicity.hover your mouse

The peak-magnitude in each distinct M5.7+ magnification episode/jolt marked by omitting of trending arrows.  Each M6.2+ magnitude marked red, except in proximal alignments.
A proximal (marked with an *) alignment occurs when bodies are non-strictly aligned (never align themselves or do on occasion, staying within 5° window), so frequent updates and unusual patterns can be expected.


BackForward

  PAST FORECASTS  

Select an archived file to see the pattern
in the real context (of an actual forecast)

Note:  A "~" means ±5% so M5.7-6.2 quakes, obviously useful as oscillation magnification's trending/jolting indicators, are also used for pattern enhancement at ends to show pattern is excited state.
M6.2+ seismicity mostly occurs at the alignment onset so forecast can change once alignment begins. For plots see our Google+ or Pinterest. For 100%-successful 2011-2014 test-phase see archives.






"Most M6+ earthquakes arise as the Earth begins aligning with 2 heavenly bodies."

Science of earthquake forecasting

   1...

"Mechanics" of it↔

Moving part(s) in a simplest mechanical oscillator can interact in different ways, such as friction. That interaction gives rise to electricity, magnetism, chemical and/or structural changes, and so on.

...2...

"Georesonance"

The same can be shown for our planet as well, under the gravitational force of the Moon and other heavenly bodies as they affect all geomasses: core, mantle, rocks - stirring even our atmosphere.

...3 

"Hyperresonance"

Extending that georesonator concept mathematically (to our entire Universe) shows it holds universally. This gives it predictive powers such as forecasting of quakes - anywhere in the Solar system!

!

literature

Astrophysical cause of tectonics (2016)
Hyperresonance J Eur R Soc 1(1) (2012)
♦ An independent confirmation (2012)
♦ A Solar-system demonstration (2011)
Georesonance Geod Acta 20(6) (2007)

*Important points about scientific seismic ANTI-forecasting:

• Based on Omerbashich pattern of increase―peak―decrease in M6.2+ seismicity strength as Earth aligns with two heavenly bodies for 3+ days
• The discovery confirmed a previously unproven feeling by Alfred Wegener that the cause of geoseismicity lies outside the Earth!
• The increase begins normally at the onset of the alignment that obviously can occur only within the Solar system's "plane"
• As two such alignments begin simultaneously - the M7+ seismicity gets set off on Earth (except for its polar zones)

• A very long alignment (lasting for 2+ weeks) also sets off the M7+ seismicity (except for the polar zones)

• Why ~ M6 cut-off? M6+ quakes account for ~2/3 of quakes-energy, faithfully representing Earth
• All existing instrumented seismic records (since the 1890s) exhibit the same pattern
• The above applies to seismotectonics of all heavenly bodies alike...
"Anti-forecast" is a term coined in 1998 by Ruth Harris (USGS) for stating of the unlikelihood for strong earthquakes to occur, as opposed to a direct forecast - for stating a likelihood.

pattern example

A PICTURE IS WORTH A THOUSAND WORDS: an example of the discovered pattern in M6+ earthquakes' strength: always increasing―peaking―decreasing during an astronomical alignment(s)
between the Earth and two other celestial objects within our Solar system's "plane" that last for 3+ days - the mantle response-time (to forced oscillation) for forming the pattern.


Scientific paper detailing the discovery
Click the above image for the scientific background of this discovery. For a complete continuous set of plots see our Google+ or Pinterest collections.



"Most M7+ quakes arise at 2 simultaneous alignments or at a weeks-long alignment."

Art of EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING



TAKE (OUT) OLD DEFINITION...

It is too often asserted that a "successful seismic forecast" is the one that can successfully predict: earthquake's location, time, and size (magnitude). But satisfying this all-or-none approach has turned out futile. The insistence on the absolute forecast has been impractical, to put it mildly. Such, a most stringent, requirement, is found in no other science or human endeavor. Are we talking double standards here?

...UPDATE IT ACCORDINGLY...

For you don't refuse a cancer medication that doesn't cure terminal illness but does turn it into a chronic condition!  You don't discard a weather forecast for not telling you the exact hour/minute and the part of the city to be hit with that downpour!  Yet, we somehow developed an expectation of seismologists that they must tell us exactly when/where the next killer-earthquake will strike. Or else they're "useless"!

...IN THE COMMON INTEREST.

Although many lives and vast property are at stake here, seismic forecasts are usually dismissed unless absolute. They get mostly rejected as scaremongering, unscientific, etc.  But the antiforecast that you'll find on this site tells the exact days without killer quakes, anywhere on Earth months ahead. It also tells, days ahead once the M6+ seismicity picks up, when/where the next big one is most likely to strike...







"Half of M8.5+ earthquakes on record had occurred during the Full Moon."

REAL-TIME MONITORING GLOBAL SEISMIC ACTIVITY



"Forecast vs. Antiforecast"

Of visitors:

The seismic forecast which tells when for sure there won't be any catastrophic earthquakes anywhere on Earth
is much more a "dream come true" for financial (insurance* primarily) industry, than a forecast which pinpoints
(when and where) such a disaster will strike. Here's an incomplete list of some of our regular visitors since 2011:

CNA Insurance   Wells Fargo   ING Group    Newmont Gold Company   Genentech    Chicago Mercantile Exchange

Credit Suisse US State Department Pershing LLC    Zurich American Insurance Group   Petrobras   Pictet

Barclays Capital US Department of Defense Toronto Dominion Bank Saudi Arabian Oil Company US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration US Geological Survey

Brown Brothers Harriman Bank   Inter-American Development Bank   Cambridge Associates   Pioneer Natural Resources     Fidelity Investments Royal Bank of Canada


*Any risks or damages from investing based on information found on www.seismo.info are the sole responsibility of the investor. Organizations can contact us for assistance.


Why trust it?

How this forecasting won in a public challenge:


Red Ice Radio

As challenged by the guest of this Swedish radio-show in August 2011, an M6.6 earthquake did hit precisely on 22 Nov 2011 as due to an alignment -
predicted by the Hyperresonance Unifying Theory (HUT). This confirmed predictive power of the HUT, its special case (the georesonator) in particular.



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